City of Morgan Hill Bikeways, Trails, Parks and Recreation Master Plan

Section 3: Economic and Demographic Overview | May 2017 Sports Market Business Strategy – Morgan Hill, CA PAGE 20

POPULATION CHARACTERISTICS Population figures were gathered through ERSI Online Business Analyst database. The population data gathered is the most current information available and the City and County data is consistent with the population statistics found in the City of Morgan Hill 2035 General Plan.

TOTAL POPULATION

A strong local population base is important to provide demand for youth sports complex. Most attendees for recurring events, such as local sporting events, will live within a relatively short distance of the facility.

The 2016 population of Morgan Hill was 43,296 residents. This represents a 28% increase from 2000 when the City of Morgan Hill had an estimated resident population of 33,733 persons. Since 2000, the population of Morgan Hill has grown by 28.3 percent to 43,296 residents in 2016. Healthy growth was also observed through the Santa Clara County market and the State of California, during this time.

Table 3-1

Historic & Current Population - Morgan Hill, CA (2000-2016)

% Growth 2000-2016

CAGR* 2000-2010

CAGR* 2010-2016

2000

2010

2016

281,421,906 308,745,538 323,580,626 15.0% 0.93% 0.79% 33,871,648 37,253,956 38,986,171 15.1% 0.96% 0.76% 1,682,585 1,781,642 1,911,024 13.6% 0.57% 1.18%

United States

California

Santa Clara County, CA Morgan Hill City, CA

33,733

37,882

43,296

28.3% 1.17% 2.25%

*Compounded Annual Growth Rate Sources: Johnson Consulting, Esri ArcGIS BAO

PROJECTED POPULATION GROWTH

The population forecasts displayed in the following table were sourced from the City of Morgan Hill’s 2035 General Plan. This report contains the projected populations for the Bay Area (a nine-county area including; San Francisco, Oakland, and San Jose), Santa Clara County, and Morgan Hill through 2035. The populations we examined are projected to grow approximately 20 percent by 2035. Morgan Hill is expected to grow by 21 percent to 48,400 residents in 2035. This represents an average annual growth of over 0.97 percent, which is like that of the projected annual growth rate in the County (1.03 percent).

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